Volume 10 Number 4 | www.ntskeptics.org | April 1996 |
I'm a bit swamped, so this column will have to be a short one. To begin with, some good news: Jonathan Frakes ("Riker" on Star Trek: The Next Generation) has been selected to direct, as well as star in, the next "Star Trek" movie! Why is this such good news? Because directing is a very time- consuming job, so for the next few months at least, Mr. Frakes should be far too busy to host any more abominable TV shows like Alien Autopsy or a more recent "psychic connections" monstrosity whose exact title has mercifully fled my memory. With any luck, this will lead to a prestigious directing career, which will make Mr. Frakes so well-respected behind the camera, he will be too embarrassed to show his face on any more of these pseudoscience schlockfests. Of course, there will always be celebrities willing to take the gig. But somehow, I don't think viewers would be as likely to swallow any of it if it were hosted by Kato Kaelin.
The Texas Supreme Court recently threw out a childhood sexual abuse lawsuit filed by a 20-year-old Dallas woman against her father. The father denied the charges, and the daughter had no evidence of any abuse, but she had suddenly "recalled" some "repressed memories," and that was good enough to warrant suing her dad for $10 million in damages. The court voted 8-1 to dismiss the case for lack of evidence. Naturally, the plaintiff's lawyer urged the court to reconsider, saying that requiring people to have actual evidence of being damaged before they can collect $10 million "shows a real lack of understanding of these issues." It also shows a callous disregard for personal injury lawyers who have payments due on their Mercedes Benzes.
If only our high government officials could put aside their darned ol' Western linear rationalism and get in touch with the metaphysical, like the leaders of Orange County, California, did! Officials there were stunned last month when Matthew Raabe, the top assistant to former Orange County Treasurer Robert L. Citron, informed them that Citron had been basing the county's financial investment strategy on advice he was getting from an astrologer and a mail-order psychic. You might recall that under Citron's stewardship, one of the richest counties in America lost $1.64 billion on risky investments in derivatives and ended up in bankruptcy. Citron pleaded guilty to fraud and misappropriation charges, but has yet to be sentenced.
Citron denied that he used the psychics and astrologers to make financial decisions for the county, and claimed that he only used them for personal advice (I assume this means he now has $1.64 billion in personal debts). Still, he has no reason to worry. He says one of the psychics assured him that he will not have to serve any jail time. Don't be surprised if he's sentenced to 1.64 billion years.
There seems to be a lot of news from outer space this month. Hard Copy brought us a report on Scott Mandelker, Ph.D., author of a book called From Elsewhere, who claims he came to Earth from another planet 25,000 years ago as a formless light being, entered a human fetus, and is now a human with an alien in control of his soul (sounds like Ross Perot to me). Lest you think he is a lone loony, his book is filled with stories from other people who also think they are aliens, although they are physically human in every way, owing to the fact that they have been stuck in human bodies ever since they were fetuses. In fact, Mandelker says there are as many as 100 million aliens on earth, many of whom don't even know that they are aliens (I'll bet I could spot 'em!). One says he's an ambassador for the aliens, who can't simply arrive in spaceships because we'd think we were being invaded. And sometimes, when I watch Hard Copy, I think we are.
A recent Associated Press wire story informs us that Richard C. Hoagland, the man who claims NASA tried to hush up news of a giant face on Mars, is back on the lecture circuit with a new claim: that the Apollo astronauts took photos of a "glass dome" and a number of other structures on the moon. Somehow, this is all tied in with the face on Mars, Stonehenge, and something he calls "hyperdimensional dynamics." Alan Bean, who actually landed on the moon in Apollo 12, said it would've been wonderful to find evidence of an ancient civilization, but there was absolutely nothing there.
This obviously phony denial does not deter Hoagland, who offers proof in the form of several fuzzy NASA photos, which he claims show "a Grecian temple," looping cables, a large blob of glass, and a 1 1/2-mile high formation that he dubs a "shard." As the AP reporter noted, "To the unschooled observer, the objects looked like magnified blobs of dirt on the window through which the photos were taken" (they obviously need to be examined by a Ph.D., like, say, Scott Mandelker). A NASA spokesman said they had not investigated Hoagland's latest claims, explaining, "It seems to us kind of a waste of time." The conspiracy continues . . .
Britain's News of the World tabloid reports that on February 28, two Harrier GR7 jets were scrambled after locals reported seeing a mysterious, circular light hovering over Queen Elizabeth's castle in Balmoral, Scotland. Witnesses said it resembled a scene from a science fiction movie, as the jets and the light circled around in what appeared to be a dogfight, then the light suddenly vanished, and the jets flew off. I see two possible explanations: either the witnesses had mad cow disease, or more likely, the entire royal family is really just a bunch of space aliens.
Finally, yet another British UFO scare, this time in Manchester, where John Travolta's movie, Broken Arrow, was having its European premiere. The theater had rented a bank of rotating laser searchlights to beam into the sky, which prompted a rash of reports of UFO sightings. A spokesman for the local police said, "People honestly thought the sinister lights in the sky were part of an alien invasion."
And even more people will think so, after the story appears on Unsolved Mysteries.
Yet Pap smears are a screening test only. That is to say, they don't diagnose anything. But precancerous and cancerous lesions of the uterine cervix, the part of a woman's womb which can be seen at the top of the vagina, do shed cells which can be picked up on a glass slide. When stained and examined microscopically, these cells look different from normal cells. The process is fairly subjective, though. Cells that are simply physically distorted, cells that are reacting to benign inflammatory conditions, and cells that are piled up on top of each other, to mention just a few factors, are very common conditions that can interfere with the reading. And even when this happens, there are still plenty of other cells that are visible and easily examined.
As a consequence of these considerations, an abnormal Pap smear is naturally much more reliable than a normal Pap. Yet it turns out also that Pap smears are even better at picking up precancers than cancers. In addition, it is thought to typically take years for early precancers to progress into more severe lesions and, finally, to true cancer. What this all means is that a positive Pap smear is more reliable than a negative one. It also means that the number of cervical cancer cases would be expected to vary in inverse proportion to the frequency of obtaining Pap smears. Here in the United States, for example, cervical cancers are very rare among the population of women who are being screened annually. Most women who are diagnosed with cervical cancer had not been getting regular Pap smears, whether or not they had gotten one in the previous year.
Nevertheless, and despite the fact that no test, and especially not a screening test, can be 100% accurate, there have been concerns about Pap smear testing. Some of these concerns have been legitimate. Some labs, for example, had been allowing cytotechnologists to take Pap slides home. Cytotechnologists are the people who do much of the examination of Pap smears and usually sign off on those they believe are negative. Other techs had been reading enormous numbers of slides, calling into question how thorough they could have been in looking at each one. Congressional legislation put an end to these practices.
Congress also mandated specific quality control measures. But since reading Pap smears consists of people physically looking at slides, and interpretation has continued to be to some degree subjective, there were few ideas on what sort of quality control measures would be best. The federal government wound up asking for bids on how Pap smears reports could be checked for accuracy. And, for awhile, no one took them up on it. Labs, meanwhile, simply stepped up their practice of re-reading a portion of all negative Pap smears. Predictably, there were always some smears reported out as normal that, when re-examined, were felt to be abnormal.
It finally occurred to someone that artificial intelligence might have something to offer in addressing the problem and two companies independently came up with computer-assisted methods of scanning the cells on Pap smear slides. They called their systems Papnet(R) and Autopap. Use of these semi- automated systems - humans still wind up looking at the cells that the computer identifies as questionable - do, just like the manual rescreening methods, result in the identification of abnormalities on specimens that were previously read out as normal. Perhaps it will turn out that use of the computer systems offer a better way of rescreening negative Pap smears for errors. And perhaps artificial intelligence can eventually replace the cytotechnologist altogether. But at this point it has not yet been shown that Papnet(R) or Autopap do a better job than manual rescreening methods.
But Neuromedical System's Medical Director, Dr. Laurie Mango, has admitted that, in fact, no data exist comparing its testing directly against traditional manual rescreening methods. Nor is there any clinical evidence that the general use of Papnet(R) results in fewer cases of cervical cancer. In addition, the majority of the 4.8% of abnormalities missed (among all negative smears) by manual methods in the major study on which the company is relying were minor abnormalities. Only about 6% (29 of 464 "false negative" smears out of 9666 total) were serious abnormalities. So is anyone arguing that Papnet(R) should be a new standard of care? "Not yet," said Dr. Mango, who denied that the company intended to suggest that all negative pap smears be rescreened using its test. Pressed to say whose smears should be tested, she offered that "perhaps high risk patients' smears" would be appropriate.
Dr. Raheela Ashfaq, Director of Cytopathology at the University of Texas Southwestern, a participant in the studies cited by Neuromedical Systems and a member of the FDA committee which has been involved in evaluating the Neuromedical Systems' new testing method, is more forthright on the subject of Papnet(R) and the current advertising blitz for it. She called the promotion "a clear misrepresentation of what the test is all about."
Papnet(R), she said, is in the process of being studied as an alternative to current manual rescreening methods for cytopathology labs. "The computer doesn't even diagnose abnormalities," she noted, "It just puts the cells up on a screen for humans to look at." And while the test has been approved by the FDA for the use of cytopathology labs, it has not even been authorized as a substitute for the labs' mandatory manual rescreening, which must still be done on a portion of all negative smears. "It's a quality assurance issue for the laboratories," said Dr. Ashfaq, and has not been approved for either general use or promotion to practitioners or the public. As for high risk situations, she remarked, the federal government already requires that all negative smears on these patients be rescreened by manual methods, which detect as many false negatives as does Papnet(R).
But by far the most serious problem concerning this matter is, as Dr. Ashfaq points out, that Neuromedical Systems is clearly "trying to force a change in practice standards to benefit itself financially" before the method has been adequately evaluated. "A company that comes out with a new technology should not be involved in setting new practice standards," she said. "That is the job of the academic centers and the clinicians studying the test . . . any new lab test has to be studied and compared to existing methods before anyone can know whether it's valid or should replace existing technologies." Yet Dr. Ashfaq acknowledged that commercial labs, when they begin receiving the many requests for Papnet(R) that the company's energetic promotional campaign will surely generate, will feel great pressure to send smears to Neuromedical Systems. If the company has its way, the cost and turnaround time for negative pap smears will increase, with as yet questionable benefits to women.
This information is provided by the Dallas/Fort Worth Council Against Health Fraud. For further information, or to report instances of suspected quackery and health fraud, please contact the Council's President, Tim Gorski, M.D., at (817) 792-2000 or write P.O.B. 202577, Arlington, TX 76006.
If you did, you should not have missed it. Besides Charlton Heston (more famous as Moses and Ben Hur), there were our own local creationists Don Patton and Carl Baugh, come to explain how the scientific establishment continues to ignore their evidence and to promulgate the myth of evolution. Those even faintly acquainted with Patton and Baugh will be struck with one glaring irony in the program. The luster of national exposure for their young-Earth agenda was more than slightly dimmed by the show's continual reference to fossils millions of years old. Maybe that's why at the MIOS meeting the following week, Don showed considerable modesty when making reference to his appearance. I further noted that many of the creationists at the meeting had not seen the program. It aired when many of them were at church.
Naturally, the program has its detractors. I will not dwell on their remarks. I have a video of the program. Watch it, and you can supply your own comments. The producers have responded to their critics, however, and they have graciously allowed us to reprint the text. To me these thoughts, spilled out on paper, make my case completely (John Blanton):
As we expected, the response to our show has been heated. We've been accused of pseudo-science and setting back the course of education in America. But our goal was simply to present the public with evidence which suggests an alternative view to some of our most accepted theories. After all, the theory of evolution is still a theory, not a fact, and therefore alternative views should be welcomed, not banned.
Probably the most common criticism is that the show gave no opposing view from the academic community. The producers' position is that the accepted view has been so frequently presented to the public that only a brief summary by the host was necessary. It was more valuable to focus on the documented anomalous evidence.
For example, if man evolved from the apes around 5 million years ago, then how does the scientific community explain tools of modern man found in rock strata dating to 55 million years old? (J.D Whitney, California State Geologist, Table Mt. Mine) Those artifacts currently reside in a museum in Berkeley, California. When we applied for permission to film them, we were denied by the museum.
Another criticism is that the information in our show is presented by experts who do not hold degrees in their fields of expertise and therefore their opinions are not endorsed by the scientific community. But Dr. Virginia Steen McIntyre holds a Ph.D. in Geology and was a fellow with the USGS when she did her field work in Mexico. Her conclusions about the age of the spear points she dated (250,000 years BP) were backed by two other USGS members, yet because of their implications, the findings were ignored and her career was ruined.
In the case of the Paluxy River man tracks, to our knowledge, no accredited archaeologist has ever proven the prints to be fake. Furthermore, many scientists have referred us to an article written by Kuban and Hastings who seem to be the experts on this site. They categorically deny that there is any validity to the prints and that the case has been solved.
It is interesting to note that the scientific community refers to this report as if it is definitive proof, when in fact neither gentleman is an accredited archaeologist, anthropologist or paleontologist. If this is to be a fair discussion let's all play by the same rules.
Many of our critics are using very strong language, calling us morons, liars, and subversive creationists. These are emotional responses, not logical arguments. To set the record straight, we are not creationists or affiliated with any group whatsoever. We are being attacked on a personal level, because we are questioning issues that have been deemed too fundamental to be questioned.
We are fully aware that the information presented is highly controversial. This was re-iterated by Charlton Heston in the show, "We've seen a broad range of evidence, some of it highly speculative. But there are enough well documented cases to call for a closer look at the conventional explanation of man's origins."
We never take the stance that we know the answers or in any way suggest that we will provide them. We are merely offering an alternative hypothesis. In this way, we feel that the American public is fully capable of making up its own mind. Bill Cote, Carol Cote and John Cheshire Producers of The Mysterious Origins of Man. To follow the controversy on our World Wide Web site:
http://www.bcvideo.com/bcvideo
- Copyright 1996: Bill Cote, Carol Cote and John Cheshire. . . . May reprint with permission. - Distributed (not written) by Thomas Burgin . . . Direct any inquiries to [email protected].
Dateline: March 13, 1997
WASHINGTON-Walking may be good for your heart, but walking
that last mile could be a killer, according to the Center
for Science in the Public Interest.
The Washington-based health watchdog group has already denounced poultry, deli sandwiches, seafood, Grand Slam breakfasts, movie popcorn, and Mexican, Chinese and Italian food. But they say their latest study has uncovered the unhealthiest dining experience of them all: Last Meals.
Traditionally, Death Row prisoners facing execution have been allowed to order anything they want as a last meal, but a CSPI study has discovered that most inmates tend to choose from a very narrow range of dishes, many dangerously high in fat and calories.
According to CSPI spokeswoman Banne DeFrommage, "The typical
'last meal' consists of a huge steak, loaded with saturated
fat and cholesterol, made even worse when prisoners order it
'chicken-fried' or 'smothered in mushrooms.' This is often
accompanied by such artery-clogging side dishes as mashed
potatoes or corn-on-the-cob swimming in butter, washed down
with a sugary soft drink or milk shake, and topped with pie.
This type of 'last meal' is nothing less than an
She noted, "A handful of the more refined condemned killers
will choose lobster over red meat. Unfortunately, while
shellfish is lower in fat, this benefit is offset by dipping
it in melted butter. Plus, shellfish can be packed with
mercury. And 'surf and turf' is the worst of all. It's no
wonder they call anyone who orders a last meal like that a
'dead man walking!'"
CSPI urged prisoners to consider healthier, lower fat
alternatives. Their suggestion for the perfect last meal: 3
to 4 ounces of grilled, soy-based, chicken-shaped textured
vegetable protein; sprouts sprinkled with wheat germ; and
steamed squash or spinach (no cheese or butter sauce).
Prisoners with low blood cholesterol can indulge themselves
with either a cup of miso soup or a dessert of one-half cup
nonfat, unsweetened yogurt (but not both!).
"With a last meal like that," Ms DeFrommage added, "you'll
feel so light, healthy and energetic, you'll practically
skip to the electric chair. And you'll rest in peace knowing
that even if you slaughtered the entire Osmond family, at
least you won't have to feel guilty about eating that fatty
last meal."
In an attempt to dispute scientist Paul Ehrlich's views
regarding the effects of population growth, R. A. Dousette
("Apocalypse Someday," Contingencies, July/August 1995)
distorts the contents of Ehrlich's books and lifts passages
out of context in order to support his own faulty arguments.
While some of Ehrlich's predictions have not materialized,
the fundamental truth behind his arguments cannot be
disputed. There is a clear link between rapid population
growth, environmental degradation, and human suffering . . .
and sooner or later we will pay the price if we ignore this
reality.
Claiming that Ehrlich's conclusions are inaccurate due to a
lack of factual evidence, Dousette discounts the views and
work of reputable organizations such as the Union of
Concerned Scientists, the Worldwatch Institute, the United
Nations, and Zero Population Growth (ZPG). The Union of
Concerned Scientists recently issued a "Warning to Humanity"
signed by more than 1,500 prominent scientists throughout
the world, who contend that "pressures resulting from
unrestrained population growth put demands on the natural
world that can overwhelm any efforts to achieve a
sustainable future. If we are to halt the destruction of our
environment, we must accept limits to that growth."
In Dousette's opinion, there has yet to occur a catastrophic
tragedy as a result of population growth. This "so far, so
good" attitude is short-sighted and fails to recognize the
many disastrous consequences of exponential population
growth on the security and quality of life for all of the
world's inhabitants.
Ozone depletion, air and water pollution, acid rain, soil
erosion, deforestation, endangered species, water shortages,
overflowing garbage dumps, poverty hunger, crime,
unemployment - citizens around the globe face the effects of
these and other environmental and social problems in their
communities and are doing their best to find solutions. But
there is one fundamental obstacle that exacerbates all other
problems - unrestrained population growth.
A finite world simply cannot accommodate an infinite number
of people. Global population now stands at about 5.7 billion
and could double by 2050. At current rates of growth, the
planet must accommodate another Mexico every year. It is
true that the Earth could theoretically support more people
before reaching its full and final carrying capacity. But
what will be the quality of life for these billions upon
billions of people? And at what cost to the environment?
Here Dousette remains silent.
If we want to provide a decent standard of living for
ourselves and future generations, we must act today to curb
our exploding population. This conclusion was endorsed by
the thousands of individuals, non-governmental organizations
and national delegations at the 1994 International
Conference on Population and Development in Cairo. In
recognition of the need to curb population growth in order
to secure human rights and sustainable development, 182
countries signed the Programme of Action, a blueprint for
population and development policies for the coming decade.
This milestone document aims to solve the internationally
recognized problems that Dousette depreciates.
The United States, which is itself set to nearly double in
size to 500 million by 2050, played a significant role in
the Cairo discussions and has a particularly crucial role to
fill in the years ahead. Americans comprise only 5% of the
world's population but use 25% of the world's energy. We
spend an annual $5 billion on diet aids while more than a
billion people in the world go hungry. Only half of
America's original wetlands and 1% of old-growth forests
remain. As one of the richest nations in the world, the
United States has a special obligation to reduce wasteful
consumption and encourage sustainable development practices.
We will have little moral authority to preach to the rest of
the world if we are unable or unwilling to address ways that
we contribute to the problems in our own back yards.
Scientists like Ehrlich and organizations such as ZPG are
working to help bring this message to the American people.
ZPG advocates a variety of measures to reduce population
pressures, including access to safe and affordable
contraceptives, reproductive choice, school-based sexuality
education and health care services, international support
for basic education and voluntary family planning programs,
green technologies and recycling programs, and the adoption
of a national population policy.
It is not too late. We know what needs to be done. It is now
simply a question of will. With a combination of both
personal and political action, we can take the steps
necessary to slow population growth and create a healthy and
sustainable society. If enough people choose to create this
vision, then perhaps there will one day be cause for Mr.
Dousette's optimism.
Not all of my friends appreciated your decision to publish
my article "Apocalypse Someday" in the July-August issue of
Contingencies. One of my co-workers, in fact, objected very
much to it. I suggested the obvious alternative to
indigestion, i.e., an angry letter to the editor. When he
hesitated, I even offered to write it for him. He declined
both my suggestion (I suspect he wasn't sure what to say)
and my offer (he suspected I'd set him up for this, my
rebuttal). My `steamed colleague' therefore derived great,
vicarious pleasure from Sharon Pickett's response to my
article in the January-February 1996 issue, despite the lack
of vitriol, invective and scurrilous attack that would've
been in his letter, if only he'd let me write it for him.
I also enjoyed her letter. It was warming to know that
someone had read my article, and was moved to respond,
without any encouragement from me. This warming was doubly
appreciated, considering that it arrived on an unusually
cold day in Dallas, despite all of the rumors of imminent
global warming. Her letter is well-written and expresses her
points well. Its greatest virtue, at least from my
perspective, is that she supports the very point that I
wished to make, that ZPG and many other environmental groups
exaggerate the consequences of population growth.
Pickett's statement that "The United States, which is itself
set to nearly double in size to 500 million by 2050 . . ."
is, I suggest, a high estimate. The U. S. Census Bureau's
middle series projection of 2050 population is 392 million,
with a range from 286 million (lowest series) to 522 million
(highest series). The highest series projection assumes an
ultimate fertility rate of 2.622, a level higher than seen
in this country in the past 25 years. It also assumes high
net immigration, and an increase in life expectancy to 87.5
years. These assumptions may be realized, but it seems
unlikely.
Population projections should be seen as illustrations
rather than predictions of the future. If the assumptions
are realized, then population will emerge in accordance with
the projections. But an examination of past projections
reveals widespread inaccuracy. Population projections made
in the `30s and early `40s understated population growth.
The lowest projection showed a U. S. population increase for
a few decades, followed by a decline to about 130 million
people at the end of the century. The highest projection
resulted in an increasing population of 180 million
Americans at the end of this century. Recent figures from
the U. S. Census Bureau project a U. S. population of 275
million to 300 million Americans at the end of this century.
Population projections a few decades later erred in the
other direction. In the late `60s the United Nations
predicted that the world's population at the end of this
century would be 7.5 billion. The most recent projection
that I have found indicates that the population will be
about 6.2 billion.
Are there any accurate projections? I have found one, in the
March 1973 issue of Scientific American. Tomas Frejka, in
The Prospects For A Stationary World Population, projects
(mid range) a world population of six billion people at the
end of this century. This is probably nothing more than
luck, with errors in fertility, immigration, and mortality
assumptions canceling one another. But it is interesting to
note that the projection, if continued, ends with a stable
population of 8.4 billion people at the end of the 21st
century.
Pickett lists many of the disastrous consequences of
population growth. At least one is conspicuous by its
absence. Any list in the `70s would have included escalating
petroleum prices. Many economists today believe that the
increase in energy costs in the `70s were the result of the
Nixon Administration's experiment with wage and price
controls. The energy crisis began in 1973 shortly after
those controls were imposed, and ended in 1981 when those
controls were lifted. Perhaps this is why Pickett leaves it
out.
There were 949,000 American scientists and engineers
involved in R&D in 1989. When Ms. Pickett states that "The
Union of Concerned Scientists recently issued a 'Warning to
Humanity' signed by more than 1,500 prominent scientists . .
." she is, I suggest, conceding that at least 947,500
scientists and engineers haven't signed it. I suspect that
many of them are also prominent.
How many of Ms. Pickett's crises as a consequence of
population growth are either exaggerated, imaginary, or
unrelated to population? It's impossible to address them in
one letter, but I will point out that there is more debate
than she acknowledges. Perhaps the best rebuttal is to point
out that the doomsayers are unwilling to back up their
predictions with their money. In 1980, economist Julian
Simon bet Paul Ehrlich that the prices of raw materials
would decline indefinitely into the future. Paul Ehrlich
accepted the bet, and it was formalized as a futures
contract. If prices rose, as a consequence of the shortages
predicted by Ehrlich, then Dr. Simon would lose based on the
amount of the increase. In fact, Ehrlich lost the bet and
had to pay Dr. Simon $576 when the prices actually fell by
over 50%. Dr. Simon has offered to renew the bet, but Mr.
Ehrlich has declined. Dr. Simon has also challenged Lester
Brown of the Worldwatch Institute by offering to bet
$100,000 that the predictions in the Worldwatch Institute's
annual "State of the World" report will be wrong. Mr. Brown
can pick any indicator of material human welfare, and
professor Simon argues that it will improve instead of
decline. The offer was made in late 1995; as of February
1996 it has not been accepted.
Tony Dousette is a professional insurance actuary working in
the health care industry. He is a former editor of The
Skeptic and lives in Richardson, Texas.
A zero-sum game
Population Predictions
Editor's note: NTS Director Emeritus R.A. Dousette's
article, "Apocalypse Someday" appeared in the July-August
1995 issue of Contingencies magazine, a publication for
actuaries and insurance professionals around the world. In
it, he criticized the dire predictions of organization such
as Zero Population Growth for the future of the planet,
especially in the area of population growth figures,
pointing out the very poor record of accuracy such
predictions have had when checked against actual population
figures. ZPG received a copy of the article, and responded
with a letter to the editor of the magazine. Here, we
present their response and Tony's rebuttal to the ZPG
letter.
To the editor:
Sharon Pickett
Zero Population Growth
Washington, D.C.To the Editor: